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作者(中文):
伯莎達
作者(外文):
Esmeralda Eugenia Posada Torres
論文名稱(中文):
Currency Reform: A Case of Dollarization in Ecuador and El Salvador
論文名稱(外文):
貨幣改革:以厄瓜多與薩爾瓦多的美元化為例
指導教授(中文):
周瑞賢
指導教授(外文):
Chou, Jui-Hsien
口試委員(中文):
盧姝璇
張寶塔
口試委員(外文):
Lu, Shu-Shiuan
Chang, Bao-Taa
學位類別:
碩士
校院名稱:
國立清華大學
系所名稱:
國際專業管理碩士班
學號:
101077430
出版年(民國):
103
畢業學年度:
102
語文別:
英文
論文頁數:
42
中文關鍵詞:
美元化
、
薩爾瓦多
、
厄瓜多
外文關鍵詞:
Dollarization
、
Ecuador
、
El Salvador
、
monetary policy
、
currency substitution
相關次數:
推薦:1
點閱:67
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下載:4
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Determining which monetary policy to implement in a country is of utmost importance for the well-being of the economy. This thesis examines dollarization, when a country chooses to use another major currency as a legal tender, while the central bank stops issuing local currency. Dollarization is a monetary policy that only a few countries have taken, and the majority of them are small developing countries, which benefit from the use of a stable currency.
The focus of this thesis is to study the cases of Ecuador and El Salvador, which are two of the biggest economies that have officially dollarized. An analysis of the costs of dollarizing such as losing independent monetary policy, losing seigniorage revenue, and losing the lender of last resort is weighted against the benefits of reducing the currency risk, lowering the cost of credit, and keeping prices stable. Next, findings on how dollarization affected GDP growth, inflation rate, and interest rates in these two countries are shown. The results show that, as expected, dollarization managed to lower interest rates as well as inflation rate, however, for the GDP growth Ecuador’s GDP grew at a faster pace after dollarization, while El Salvador’s decreased.
ABSTRACT 2
1. INTRODUCTION 5
1.1. DOLLARIZATION 6
1.2. REQUIREMENTS FOR DOLLARIZING 8
1.3. ECUADOR 8
1.4. EL SALVADOR 9
2. COSTS AND BENEFITS OF DOLLARIZATION 11
2.1. COSTS 11
2.1.1. Losing Seigniorage Revenue 11
2.1.2. Losing the Lender of Last Resort 12
2.1.3. Losing Independent Monetary Policy 13
2.2. BENEFITS 14
2.2.1. Eliminating Currency Risk 14
2.2.2. Lowering the Cost of Credit 15
2.2.3. Other Benefits of Dollarization 16
3. FINDINGS FOR ECUADOR AND EL SALVADOR 18
3.1. GDP GROWTH 18
3.1.1. Ecuador 18
3.1.2. El Salvador 20
3.1.3. Inflation Rate 21
3.1.4. Interest Rates 23
4. COMPARISON OF ECUADOR AND EL SALVADOR WITH THEIR NEIGHBOR COUNTRIES 26
4.1. COMPARISON OF ECUADOR’S, PERU’S, COLOMBIA’S AND CHILE’S GDP GROWTH RATE, INFLATION RATES AND INTEREST RATES. 26
4.1.1. GDP growth rate of Ecuador compared to the GDP growth rate of Colombia, Peru and Chile. 26
4.1.2. Inflation rate of Ecuador compared to the inflation rate of Colombia, Peru, and Chile. 28
4.1.3. Lending interest rate of Ecuador compared to the lending interest rate of Colombia, Peru, and Chile. 30
4.2. COMPARISON OF EL SALVADOR’S, HONDURAS’, GUATEMALA’S AND NICARAGUA’S GDP GROWTH RATE, INFLATION RATES, AND INTEREST RATES. 32
4.2.1. GDP Growth Rate of El Salvador compared to the GDP Growth Rate of Honduras, Guatemala, and Nicaragua 32
4.2.2. Inflation Rate of El Salvador compared to the Inflation Rate of Honduras, Guatemala, and Nicaragua 34
4.2.3. Lending Interest Rate of El Salvador compared to the Lending Interest Rate of Honduras, Guatemala, and Nicaragua. 36
5. CONCLUSION 38
REFERENCES 41
Araujo García, M. A. La dolarización en Ecuador: un proceso de cambios. Aula de Economía - Sitio de economía y negocios. Retrieved March 30, 2014, from http://www.auladeeconomia.com/articulosot-03.htm
Bencivenga, V. R., Huybens, E., & Smith, B. D. (2001, May 1). Dollarization and the Integration of International Capital Markets. Journal of Money, Credit & Banking,33, No 2, 548-89.
Calvo, G. A. (2001). Capital Markets and the Exchange Rate, with Special Reference to the Dollarization Debate in Latin America. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 33(2), 312.
Chang, R. (2000). Dollarization: A Scorecard. Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Third Quarter, 1-11.
Fischer, S. (Director) (2000, May 19). Ecuador and The IMF. Hoover Institution Conference on Currency Unions. Lecture conducted from International Monetary Fund, Palo Alto, California.
El Salvador Recent Economic Developments. (1998). Washington, D.C.: International Monetary Fund, Staff Country Report 98/32.
Haussman, R., & Powell, A. (1999, July 23). Dollarization: Issues of Implementation. Paper Prepared for the Seminar on Alternative Exchange Rate Regimes for the Region. Panama.
Hinds, M. E. (Director) (1999, July 15). Hearing on Official Dollarization in Emerging-Market Countries. Prepared Testimony for U.S. Senate Banking Committee.
Hinds, M. (2004). Is Dollarization a Worthwhile Option for Developing Countries?. International Finance, 7(2), 287-309.
Mundell, R. A. (1962). A Theory of Optimum Currency Areas. American Economic Review 51.4: 657-665.
Parodi, T. C. (2001). Globalización y Crisis Financieras Internacionales.
Universidad del Pacifico. Centro de Investigacion, Lima.
Quispe-Agnoli, M. (2002). Costs and benefits of Dollarization. Latin America Research Group. Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.
Quispe-Agnoli, M., & Whisler, E. (2006). Official Dollarization and the Banking System in Ecuador and El Salvador. Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Economic Review, 91(3), 55-71.
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