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作者(中文):劉巳嘉
作者(外文):Liu, Ssu-chia
論文名稱(中文):全球化對薪資及就業的影響-以台灣製造業為例
論文名稱(外文):The Impact of Globalization on Employment and Wage: Evidence of Taiwanese Manufacturing
指導教授(中文):李宜
指導教授(外文):Lee, Yi
口試委員(中文):林靜儀
彭正浩
學位類別:碩士
校院名稱:國立清華大學
系所名稱:經濟學系
學號:100072508
出版年(民國):102
畢業學年度:101
語文別:中文
論文頁數:64
中文關鍵詞:國際貿易國際分工進出口對外直接投資下游產業對外直接投資薪資就業職業常規性指標
外文關鍵詞:international tradeinternational division of laborexport and importforeign direct investment (FDI)foreign direct investment in the downstream industrieswageemploymentroutine index
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台灣為一小型開放的經濟體,隨著全球化程度的提升,國內與國際市場的關係也更密不可分。近十多年來,我國勞動市場出現薪資與就業成長遲緩的現象,引發許多人對全球化的好處產生了質疑。為釐清全球化對國內勞動市場的衝擊,本研究串聯合併 1996 年至 2010 年人力運用調查、進出口、對外直接投資等資料進行實證分析,期望能找出薪資與就業成長遲緩的主因。

參考Ebenstein et al. (2011) 的方法,由於勞工轉換職業相較於轉換產業為困難,本研究依據Acemoglu and Autor (2010) 的分類方式建構職業常規性指標,分析不同職業類別的勞工受到國際貿易與國際分工的影響是否有所差異。此外,由於台灣在中國大陸子公司所使用的原物料與中間財有逐漸向當地購買的趨勢,我們也分析下游產業對外直接投資對上游產業勞工的影響。

實證結果顯示:(1) 使用職業層級資料之實證結果較為顯著,反映出勞工轉換職業較轉換產業困難的結果;(2) 全球化對國內勞動市場的影響,替代效果為主要的負面影響因素,且多反映於與高所得國家貿易和FDI 至高所得國家;(3) 下游產業FDI 至高所得國家對上游產業常規性勞工薪資的正向影響較為明顯。
With the trend of globalization, the relations between domestic and international markets are more and more inseparable. Over the past decade, the stagnation of wage and employment in Taiwan have become striking. The benefits of globalization have been challenged.

In this paper, we estimate the impacts of globalization on domestic labor market by using individual-level employee data over the period 1996 – 2010. We also link industry-level trade and foreign direct investment (FDI) data with individual-level data to construct the measures of globalization. Following Ebenstein et al. (2011), we examine the impacts of globalization on wages and labor market participation both across industries and occupations in Taiwan’s manufacturing sector. Based on Acemoglu and Autor’s (2010) classification of the routineness of each occupation, we examine the impacts of globalization on wages and employment of different types of workers. In addition, we also analyze the effects of FDI in downstream industries on labor market in the upstream industries.

We find that the effects of trade and FDI on wages and employment are larger across occupations than across industries. Trade and FDI have negative substitution effects on domestic labor market. These effects are more pronounced for openness to high-income countries. Finally, FDI in the downstream industries has a positive effect on the wages of routine workers.
摘要 i
Abstract ii
誌謝辭 iv
目錄 v
圖表目錄 vi
附表目錄 vii

第一章 緒論
1-1節 研究背景與動機 1
1-2節 研究目的與研究方法 5
1-3節 研究架構 5

第二章 文獻回顧
2-1節 國際貿易 6
2-2節 國際分工 7
2-3節 其他相關文獻 10

第三章 資料
3-1節 資料來源 11
3-2節 資料處理 14
3-3節 敘述統計 17

第四章 實證模型與結果
4-1節 實證模型 25
4-2節 實證結果 32

第五章 結論與建議
5-1節 研究結論 44
5-2節 未來方向與建議 48

參考文獻 49
附錄 51
中文部分
1. 林祖嘉、黃啟宏. (2006). 對外投資與勞動結構調整:台灣的實證分析. 人文及社會科學集刊, 18(1), 171-214.
2. 曹添旺、陳建良、陳隆華. (2006). 國際化對台灣製造業男性工資差異之影響. 人文及社會科學集刊, 18(2), 343-383.
3. 劉碧珍. (2005). 對外投資、海外生產對國內研發、勞工僱用與薪資的影響. 經濟部研究報告.

英文部分
1. Acemoglu, D., and Autor, D. (2010). Skills, Tasks and Technologies: Implications for Employment and Earnings. National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, NBER Working Papers: 16082.
2. Autor, D. H., Levy, F., and Murnane, R. J. (2003). The Skill Content of Recent Technological Change: An Empirical Exploration. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 118(4), 1279-1333.
3. Blomstrom, M., Fors, G., and Lipsey, R. E. (1997). Foreign Direct Investment and Employment: Home Country Experience in the United States and Sweden. Economic Journal, 107(445), 1787-1797.
4. Ebenstein, A., Harrison, A., McMillan, M., and Phillips, S. (2011). Estimating the Impact of Trade and offshoring on American Workers Using the Current Population Surveys. The World Bank, Policy Research Working Paper Series: 5750.
5. Feenstra, R. C., and Hanson, G. H. (1999). The Impact of Outsourcing and High-technology Capital on Wages: Estimates for the United States, 1979-1990. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 114(3), 907-940.
6. Grossman, G. M., and Rossi-Hansberg, E. (2008). Trading Tasks: A Simple Theory of offshoring. American Economic Review, 98(5), 1978-1997.
7. Harrison, A. E., and McMillan, M. S. (2006). Outsourcing Jobs? Multinationals and US Employment. National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, NBER Working Papers: 12372.
8. Hsieh, C. T., and Woo, K. T. (2005). The Impact of Outsourcing to China on Hong Kong's Labor Market. American Economic Review, 95(5), 1673-1687.
9. Krugman, P. R. (1979). Increasing Returns, Monopolistic Competition, and International Trade. Journal of International Economics, 9(4), 469-479.
10. Lipsey, R. E., Ramstetter, E. D., and Blomstrom, M. (2000). Outward FDI and Parent Exports and Employment: Japan, the United States, and Sweden. National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, NBER Working Papers: 7623.
11. Melitz, M. J. (2003). The Impact of Trade on Intra-Industry Reallocations and Aggregate Industry Productivity. Econometrica, 71(6), 1695-1725.
12. Scheve, K., and Slaughter, M. J. (2004). Economic Insecurity and the Globalization of Production. American Journal of Political Science, 48(4), 662-674.
13. Taylor, K., and Driffield, N. (2005). Wage Inequality and the Role of Multinationals: Evidence from UK Panel Data. Labour Economics, 12(2), 223-249.
14. Trefler, D. (2004). The Long and Short of the Canada-US Free Trade Agreement. American Economic Review, 94(4), 870-895.
 
 
 
 
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