在工業的批次製程中，最終的產品品質是由每個批次中的製程變數軌跡來決定的。因此，在建立預測品質模型時，我們有兩個重要的問題必須考慮。(1)每個批次過程中，製程變數軌跡的動態特性連續累積的來影響產品的最終品質；(2)每個製程變數在不同的時間階段下對產品的影響是不相同的，因此我們必須將這種累積影響與時間變化的特性做一個良好的解釋，以利我們建立準確的品質預測模型。
在傳統的多變數統計迴歸方法並無法良好將製程中變數的動態特性考慮進去，所以無法良好看出每個時刻對最終品質的重要性，因此在本篇論文中提出multiway group lasso (MGL)和multiway elastic net (MEN)兩種方法，均基於正規化(regularization)的變數選擇方法上，具有變數選擇及線性迴歸的特性，可以自動的調整出良好的品質預測模型迴歸係數，並將批次製程的上述兩種特性考慮進去。在透過適當的數據預處理方法後MGL和MEN相比於傳統的多變數統計迴歸方法均有更好的預測結果，並能對製程的物理特性做出良好的解釋，其中MEN相比於其他方法更顯現出準確的預測準確度。而在線上產品品質時所需的未來數據，本文推薦採用基於k-nearest neighhor (kNN)方法來估計未來數據。最終藉由本論文提出的數據預處理方法結合kNN估計方法，將MGL和MEN方法應用於射出成形機製程中，可以從結果看出MGL和MEN不僅提高了線上品質預測能力並且也提升了對製程機理過程的了解。

摘要 I
誌謝 II
目錄 III
圖目錄 IV
表目錄 V
第一章 緒論 1
1.1 前言 1
1.2 文獻回顧 3
1.3 研究動機及目的 6
1.4文章架構 8
第二章 研究方法 9
2.1批次製程數據處理及品質相關分析 9
2.1.1 批次數據的展開方法 9
2.1.2 批次數據的標準化方法 11
2.1.3 線上品質預測和未來數據估計方法 14
2.2現有方法分析 18
2.2.1 MPLS的建模方法 18
2.2.2 Stage-PLS的建模方法 20
2.3基於變數選擇的建模方法介紹 22
2.3.1Multiway group lasso (MGL)的建模方法 22
2.3.2Multiway elastic net (MEN)的建模方法 25
2.4 批次製程的品質相關分析 28
第三章 研究結果 30
3.1 實驗介紹 30
3.2 建立品質預測模型 32
3.3 迴歸係數的品質分析 37
3.4 不同數據標準化的迴歸模型比較 40
第四章 結論 49
第五章 參考文獻 50

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