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This thesis mainly focuses on examining whether consensus expectations as well as corresponding operations of institutional investors could be meaningful indicators for stock price fluctuations in the short-term. Fundamental changes are excluded in the study. In the study, the consensus ratio is defied to reflect the concentration scale of each stock. Compare consensus ratio under fundamental changes with no fundamental changes to see if there is a difference in significant level. If so, this statistic could be used to forecast future stock price trend. Moreover, the turnover rate could also be tested to see if it would be another meaningful factor. The test result shows that the consensus ratio is not significantly different in the two different scenarios while the turnover rate is. In conclusion, the turnover rate plays a more significant role in providing investment suggestions.
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