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作者(中文):胡皓鈞
作者(外文):Hu, Hao-Chun
論文名稱(中文):整合支持向量機、決策樹與粗糙集於院內心跳停止急救事件之預測
論文名稱(外文):Predicting IHCA based on integration of support vector machine, decision tree, and rough sets
指導教授(中文):蘇朝墩
陳衍成
指導教授(外文):Su, Chao-Ton
Chen, Yan-Cheng
口試委員(中文):薛友仁
蕭宇翔
學位類別:碩士
校院名稱:國立清華大學
系所名稱:工業工程與工程管理學系
學號:103034508
出版年(民國):106
畢業學年度:105
語文別:中文
論文頁數:50
中文關鍵詞:院內心跳停止支持向量機決策樹粗糙集方法論規則萃取
外文關鍵詞:IHCAsupport vector machinesdecision treesrough setsrule extraction
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院內心跳停止(In Hospital Cardiac Arrest, IHCA)一直是醫院的重要議題,而國內發生IHCA後實施急救措施後的出院率和存活率遠低於美國。急救措施的執行成效關係到能否立即拯救危急瀕死病患之生命,過去少有應用資料挖礦方法論於IHCA之研究,使用新穎的資料挖掘方法論於IHCA案例上是值得研究的議題。
本研究提出整合之方法,應用SVM產生的SV結合規則萃取演算法如決策樹C5.0、CART以及粗糙集方法論,以增加SVM的解釋能力與萃取出感興趣的資訊,並且具備良好的分類性能。
本研究運用五個指標,準確度(Accuracy)、敏感度(Sensitivity)、特異度(Specificity)、保真度(Fidelity)和覆蓋率(Coverage)指標來評估所提出的三種整合型方法在10個UCI的資料集和醫療案例上的分類性能和解釋能力。研究結果顯示本研究所討論的三種方法皆可以萃取出80%以上的整體準確度之規則,說明本研究可以成功運用在UCI以及IHCA實例上,使得發生IHCA患者的出院率大幅提升以及醫療資源能夠更為妥當的利用。
In-Hospital Cardiac Arrest (IHCA) has been an important issue in hospitals, and the IHCA patients in Taiwan have much lower survival and discharge rate than in the United States. The effectiveness of resuscitation may ultimately determine whether a patient can survive or discharge from the hospital. The data mining methods have rarely been applied to IHCA cases and to extract useful rules to assist medical personnel in decision making. Therefore, it is desired to study the application of support vector machines (SVM) in integrating a set of methods to provide a better understanding of the relationship between IHCA and discharge rate for the hospital personnel.
To solve the problem of insufficient explanatory power of SVM, this study integrates three rule extraction algorithms, the C5.0 decision trees, classification and regression trees (CART), and rough sets, with the support vectors generated from SVM to extract rules and enhance SVM's explanatory power. Five indexes including accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, fidelity, and coverage are used to evaluate the classification performance of the three proposed methods on the UCI database and IHCA case.
The results show that all three proposed methods can obtain more than 80% overall accuracy of classification. Thus, the proposed methods not only can be applied successfully on the UCI dataset, but also can provide useful reference for medical decisions in the real case of IHCA.
摘要 i
目錄 iii
第一章 緒論 1
1.1 研究背景與動機 1
1.2 研究目的 2
1.3 研究架構 2
第二章 文獻探討 5
2.1 院內心跳停止 5
2.2 快速反應小組(rapid response team, RRT) 6
2.3 預警系統(early warning system, EWS) 9
2.4 支持向量機 10
2.5 決策樹 11
2.5.1 ID3, C4.5 & C5.0 13
2.5.2 CART (Classification and Regression Tree) 14
2.6 粗糙集方法論 (Rough sets) 15
2.7 規則萃取 17
2.7.1 SVM + Prototypes 18
2.7.2 RulExSVM 19
第三章 方法論 21
3.1 研究方法概念 21
3.2 SVM + C5.0 25
3.2 SVM + CART 25
3.2 SVM + Rough sets 26
第四章 數據分析 28
4.1 研究平台及資料處理步驟 28
4.2 分類指標 28
4.3 數據 30
4.4 分析結果 31
第五章 案例研究 37
5.1 研究背景 37
5.2 案例分析 38
5.2.1 SVM + C5.0 38
5.2.2 SVM + CART 41
5.2.3 SVM + Rough sets 42
5.2.4總結 44
第六章 結論 45
6.1 結論 45
6.2 未來展望 46
參考文獻 47

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